PoliticsOpen
Will Russia and Ukraine reach a formal ceasefire agreement before January 1, 2027?
35%
Resolves YES if a signed ceasefire document between Russia and Ukraine is confirmed by Reuters or AP before Jan 1, 2027. Informal pauses do not count.
- Forecast probability
- 35%
- Closes
- Dec 31, 2026
- Resolves by
- Dec 31, 2026
- Created
- last month