PoliticsOpen

Will North Korea conduct a ballistic missile test reaching Japanese waters before end of 2026?

50%

Resolves YES if Japan's Ministry of Defense or two major outlets confirm a North Korean ballistic missile landing in Japan's EEZ before Dec 31, 2026.

Forecast probability
50%
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Resolves by
Dec 31, 2026
Created
last month