AIOpen

Will the EU AI Act's GPAI obligations result in a major model being withdrawn from the European market before end of 2026?

20%

Resolves YES if any of OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, Meta or Mistral officially announce withdrawal of a model from the EU due to GPAI compliance, confirmed by Reuters or AP.

Forecast probability
20%
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Resolves by
Dec 31, 2026
Created
last month