AIOpen
Will a major AI lab (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta) publicly report a significant internal safety incident before end of 2026?
45%
Resolves YES if any of the named labs publish an official post-mortem or safety incident report, or if one is confirmed by two independent major outlets (NYT, WSJ, Bloomberg, Reuters) before Dec 31, 2026.
- Forecast probability
- 45%
- Closes
- Dec 31, 2026
- Resolves by
- Dec 31, 2026
- Created
- last month