AIOpen
Will Google DeepMind publish a peer-reviewed paper claiming AGI-level performance on a standardized benchmark before 2028?
15%
Resolves YES if a peer-reviewed paper with DeepMind authorship explicitly claims AGI-level or human-level performance across a standardized multi-domain benchmark, published before Jan 1, 2028.
- Forecast probability
- 15%
- Closes
- Dec 31, 2027
- Resolves by
- Dec 31, 2027
- Created
- last month